Paper accounts
Which of its own rules are worth it
Six simulated accounts of $100 read the same screener at the same moment and trade it by published rules. Neither holds a coin, signs anything or places an order: all of them buy and sell at the screener’s own price, which flatters them equally.
One obeys every check. One ignores most of them, so the careful account’s record means something: an account that does well on its own may only have met a rising market. The other four are the careful account with a single rule moved, because every rule here refuses tokens and a rule that refuses without earning it is a cost paid for nothing. What one of them buys and the careful account does not is exactly what that rule was refusing, and what happens next is that rule’s record. Nothing here is advice.
Six accounts, one screener
Careful and reckless settle whether the checks help at all. The other four are the careful account with a single rule loosened, each started with $100 on the same morning. When some of them show the same record, the rules they loosen have not yet changed a decision.
Careful
Obeys every check. Will not buy what Ocellus has not sold in a simulation.
Testing: whether obeying every check pays
$85.17 −14.8%
- Not spent
- $3.84
- Holding
- 18
- Closed
- 25
- Of those, up
- 5
Holding 18 worth $81.32 against $90.00 put in. Which tokens is not shown while they are open; each is named when it closes.
Recklessahead
Ignores most of them. Does not wait for a measured sale. It draws one line: it will not buy what the chain has already refused to sell.
Testing: what ignoring the checks does, as the control
$105.58 +5.6%
- Not spent
- $5.21
- Holding
- 9
- Closed
- 25
- Of those, up
- 10
Holding 9 worth $100.37 against $90.00 put in. Which tokens is not shown while they are open; each is named when it closes.
Crowded
Careful, but it will buy a token whose ten largest wallets hold up to 70%. It is here to say whether the concentration cap is worth what it refuses.
Testing: the cap on what the ten largest wallets hold
$91.82 −8.2%
- Not spent
- $2.57
- Holding
- 20
- Closed
- 5
- Of those, up
- 1
Holding 20 worth $89.25 against $100.00 put in. Which tokens is not shown while they are open; each is named when it closes.
Unproven
Careful, but it does not wait for Ocellus to have sold the token in a simulation. It still refuses one the chain has refused to sell.
Testing: requiring a simulated sale
$94.38 −5.6%
- Not spent
- $0.68
- Holding
- 21
- Closed
- 7
- Of those, up
- 1
Holding 21 worth $93.70 against $105.00 put in. Which tokens is not shown while they are open; each is named when it closes.
Hasty
Careful, but it buys the moment a token qualifies instead of letting it age half an hour first.
Testing: waiting 30 minutes before buying
$91.82 −8.2%
- Not spent
- $2.57
- Holding
- 20
- Closed
- 5
- Of those, up
- 1
Holding 20 worth $89.25 against $100.00 put in. Which tokens is not shown while they are open; each is named when it closes.
Patient
Careful, but it holds for a week instead of a day. It buys the same tokens; the question is whether the careful account sells its winners too early.
Testing: selling after 24 hours
$91.82 −8.2%
- Not spent
- $2.57
- Holding
- 20
- Closed
- 5
- Of those, up
- 1
Holding 20 worth $89.25 against $100.00 put in. Which tokens is not shown while they are open; each is named when it closes.
What has happened
Every position any account has closed, newest first. A token is named the moment it is sold and not before.
- Recklesssold CODEMEN after 6 h, held its time−9.8%
- Recklesssold PKSTR after 6 h, held its time+32.5%
- Recklesssold RIPS after 6 h, held its time+0.3%
- Recklesssold DEED after 6 h, held its time−19.8%
- Recklesssold JEVHUB after 6 h, held its time−15.0%
- Recklesssold 4663 after 6 h, held its time−1.5%
- Recklesssold SOD after 6 h, held its time−1.2%
- Recklesssold WAIFU after 6 h, held its time−0.1%
What careful refused today
Every row gets a decision, and every rule that refused it is counted, not just the first.
- The scan is too old to act onthe only thing stopping 172,609
- Not enough liquiditythe only thing stopping 62,598
- Not enough trading2,569
- Liquidity is not out of reach2,369
- No wallet with a record holds it2,290
- The pool is too small against the market cap2,132
- The simulated sale did not go throughthe only thing stopping 21,267
- The creator has launched beforethe only thing stopping 2301
What reckless refused today
Every row gets a decision, and every rule that refused it is counted, not just the first.
- Not enough tradingthe only thing stopping 2422,493
- Not enough liquidity2,107
- The pool is too small against the market cap1,893
- The scan is too old to act onthe only thing stopping 17409
- The level rests on checks that could not runthe only thing stopping 18190
- No market figuresthe only thing stopping 125166
- Split wallets foundthe only thing stopping 77164
- The level is too highthe only thing stopping 232
What crowded refused today
Every row gets a decision, and every rule that refused it is counted, not just the first.
- The scan is too old to act onthe only thing stopping 152,607
- Not enough liquiditythe only thing stopping 62,598
- Not enough trading2,569
- Liquidity is not out of reach2,369
- No wallet with a record holds it2,290
- The pool is too small against the market cap2,132
- The simulated sale did not go throughthe only thing stopping 21,267
- The creator has launched beforethe only thing stopping 2301
What unproven refused today
Every row gets a decision, and every rule that refused it is counted, not just the first.
- The scan is too old to act onthe only thing stopping 292,606
- Not enough liquiditythe only thing stopping 102,598
- Not enough trading2,568
- Liquidity is not out of reachthe only thing stopping 22,369
- No wallet with a record holds itthe only thing stopping 12,290
- The pool is too small against the market cap2,132
- The creator has launched beforethe only thing stopping 2300
- The level is too highthe only thing stopping 1257
What hasty refused today
Every row gets a decision, and every rule that refused it is counted, not just the first.
- The scan is too old to act onthe only thing stopping 152,607
- Not enough liquiditythe only thing stopping 62,598
- Not enough trading2,569
- Liquidity is not out of reach2,369
- No wallet with a record holds it2,290
- The pool is too small against the market cap2,132
- The simulated sale did not go throughthe only thing stopping 21,267
- The creator has launched beforethe only thing stopping 2301
What patient refused today
Every row gets a decision, and every rule that refused it is counted, not just the first.
- The scan is too old to act onthe only thing stopping 152,607
- Not enough liquiditythe only thing stopping 62,598
- Not enough trading2,569
- Liquidity is not out of reach2,369
- No wallet with a record holds it2,290
- The pool is too small against the market cap2,132
- The simulated sale did not go throughthe only thing stopping 21,267
- The creator has launched beforethe only thing stopping 2301
The rules, side by side
Published because a record of trades is worth nothing if the rules behind it can be changed afterwards. The one row that matters most is whether a measured sale is required: that is the product’s own claim, and this is the experiment that tests it.
| Rule | Careful | Reckless | Crowded | Unproven | Hasty | Patient |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levels it will buy | low, moderate | low, moderate, high | low, moderate | low, moderate | low, moderate | low, moderate |
| Liquidity it accepts | burned, locker | burned, locker, curve, held, unknown | burned, locker | burned, locker | burned, locker | burned, locker |
| Least liquidity | $10,000 | $1,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| Least trading a day | $5,000 | $500 | $5,000 | $5,000 | $5,000 | $5,000 |
| Top ten may hold | 35% | 70% | 70% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Pool, against the cap | at least 5% | at least 1% | at least 5% | at least 5% | at least 5% | at least 5% |
| Creator may hold | 5% | 20% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Creator with a history | refused | fine | refused | refused | refused | refused |
| Needs a measured sale | yes | no | yes | no | yes | yes |
| Most it will pay to get out | 8% | 30% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Oldest scan it will act on | 6 h | 24 h | 6 h | 6 h | 6 h | 6 h |
| Youngest token it will buy | 30 min | any age | 30 min | 30 min | any age | 30 min |
| Needs a wallet with a record | yes | no | yes | yes | yes | yes |
| Size a position | $5 | $10 | $5 | $5 | $5 | $5 |
| Holds for | 24 h | 6 h | 24 h | 24 h | 24 h | 168 h |
| Leaves if the top ten sell | 3 points and $2,000 | 5 points and $5,000 | 3 points and $2,000 | 3 points and $2,000 | 3 points and $2,000 | 3 points and $2,000 |
| Takes its stake back at | 2x | 3x | 2x | 2x | 2x | 2x |
- Never add to a losing position. Both accounts.
- Judge the decision on the facts it was made with, not on the price afterwards. Both accounts.
The same record as JSON is at /api/agent.